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Sunday, 6 March 2011

Global energy requirements are likely to triple by 2060.

Mankind Has Always Craved Energy


   An insatiable hunger for energy has been mankind's constant companion. Over the course of history, new forms of energy have repeatedly been discovered and applied. But in each case this has had serious consequences for wider human and social development.

First it was fire. Man learned to tame fire and then to use it. This set him clearly apart from other animals and ushered in a rapid period of development. Numerous sagas and legends surrounding fire have evolved over the course of history. From Greek mythology we know of Prometheus, who played a trick on Zeus. Angered by this deceit, Zeus proceeded to withhold fire from man on earth as a punishment. However, Prometheus lit a torch from the fiery sun chariot of Helios as it sped by, hurried back down to earth and set fire to a pile of wood with his blazing cargo.

But fire anyway found its way to earth – and most likely it was through a bolt of lightning. Without this provider of heat, our fore-fathers would have remained in the "warm zones" of the Earth and would never have been in a position to migrate northward. Nor would the melting of metal and the firing of clay have been possible.

Full Steam Ahead

It was as early as 100 B.C. that the Greek physicist Heron of Alexandria described a form of propulsion which relied on steam as its source of energy. The decisive breakthrough, however, fell to Scottish engineer James Watt, who improved the steam engine design by English inventor Thomas Newcomen and had his own design patented in 1769. Indeed, it was the serial manufacturing of steam engines that marked the beginning of the Industrial Revolution. It was thanks to the use of steam power that locomotives could be built, a development that at a stroke changed the entire nature of human transportation and thereby had a decisive influence on the economy.

Oil Lubricates the Gears of the Economy

Crude oil has been one of the most important suppliers of energy to human civilization ever since industrialization. Without the "black gold," things just don't work. The first ever crude oil refinery dates back to 1859, when the American Edwin Drake extracted substantial quantities of oil from the ground via a drilling procedure. When the electric light bulb was introduced, oil initially lost its appeal. But when the automobile was invented, it reannounced itself with a vengeance, as this new form of transportation made gas (for the Americans) or petrol (for the British) a highly sought-after commodity. Ever since, it has been difficult to imagine living without this source of energy. More than a third of the world's energy requirement is met by oil, making it the undisputed number-one energy commodity. Although oil is very practical and easy to use at its final point of consumption, be it for heating or for automotive refueling purposes, transporting it to the end consumer is not unproblematic. This is brought home to us time and again whenever an oil tanker accident makes the headlines.

The Dark Side of Black Gold

One of the greatest tanker catastrophes in Europe occurred on December 12, 1999, when the single-hulled tanker Erika, sailing under the Maltese flag with a cargo comprising 30,000 metric tons (33,069 tons) of heavy oil, broke apart in heavy seas just off the coast of Brittany. As a result, 400 kilometers (249 miles) of coastline were polluted and around 75,000 birds perished in the unforgiving oil slick.

But on April 20, 2010, an event occurred that dwarfed the horror of any tanker accident. The Deepwater Horizon oil platform exploded following an uncontrolled oil leakage and sank promptly. The subsequent pollution in the Gulf of Mexico caused by the leaking of oil on the seabed at a depth of 1,500 meters (0.9 miles) led to the worst environmental catastrophe of its type in the US. Following the accident, just under 10 million liters (63,000 barrels) of oil is believed to have spewed out into the sea in the first three months alone.

Merely One Hour of Global Oil Requirement

But as colossal as this oil pollution may sound, the oil spill of these first three months would cover precisely one hour of mankind's current global oil requirement. Even though this oil spill dominated the headlines around the world for a long period of time, it would be a great mistake to believe that large amounts of oil are only released into the sea as a result of tanker accidents or spectacular disasters of the Deepwater Horizon type. The oil that leaks out in numerous places around the world due to ramshackle drill heads and leaky pipelines adds up to a quite staggering tonnage.

A sad chapter in this respect is the history of oil drilling in the Niger delta. For the last 50 years, foreign multinationals have been busy extracting Nigerian oil in this area as it is extremely easy to refine. Experts estimate that approximately two billion liters of oil has so far flowed into the Niger delta as a result. Every year this leads to oil pollution on a par with the Exxon Valdez tanker accident. As a result of this notorious incident back in 1989, in which 40,000 metric tons of oil was released into the sea, 2,000 kilometers of unspoiled regional coastline in Alaska was polluted.

Driven by Water

Together with wind power, hydropower is one of the oldest applied forms of energy. Back in antiquity, the Greeks and the Romans used water wheels for the milling of flour. In the Middle Ages, large water wheels made of wood were used to power machinery in mines, smithy workshops, sawmills, grinding factories and cloth-fulling mills. Hydropower also played a crucial role in the development of the first industrial towns of Europe and the US. The first hydropower stations for generating electricity were built in 1880 in Northumberland in the North of England. The techniques used in major hydroelectric power stations today may have been perfected, but conceptually they have changed little, with various types of turbines and generators still used to produce electricity.

Around a quarter of the world's entire supply of energy is generated through hydropower. Water is, after all, clean and natural. But the hunger for electricity leads to the building of ever-larger reservoirs and ever more productive power stations, which has its costs.

China's Longest River Dammed

Although we know far more nowadays about the consequences of major dams, they continue to be built on an ever-larger scale. For example, the Three Gorges Dam in China is one of the largest river dams anywhere in the world. Work on its construction began on December 14, 1994, with a workforce numbering up to 18,000. The project involved the impoundment of the Yangtze river, and the body of the dam was finally completed on May 20, 2006. This resulted in the creation of a reservoir near the three gorges of Qutang, Wuxia, and Xiling. With a total length of 6,380 kilometers, the Yangtze river is the longest river in China and the third-longest in the world. This colossal project has inevitably led to the elimination of entire towns as well as countless villages, farms and factories. In total, just under two million people have to be relocated as part of the project.

Energy Derived From the Building Blocks of Matter

Nuclear power stations have played an important role in energy generation since the 1960s. The process of nuclear fission was first discovered in 1938 by the German chemists Otto Hahn und Friedrich Wilhelm Strassmann. The splitting of atoms leads to the release of heat energy that can then be converted into electrical energy by means of turbines and a generator.

That process typically involves the fission of the radioactive heavy metal uranium, which is stored in the nuclear reactor's fuel rods. One kilogram of uranium is enough to produce 350,000 kWh of electricity. This figure can vary a lot, as it depends on the degree of isotopic enrichment and the efficiency  of the nuclear power station. By contrast, a kilogram of oil releases about 12 kWh and produces about 5 kWh. The proportion of global energy generation accounted for by nuclear power currently amounts to around 16 percent. Germany generates 23 percent of its energy from nuclear power, Switzerland 39 percent.

Whereas in the early days of atomic energy nuclear power stations were seen as clean, efficient and cost-effective, this confidence was badly rocked by the reactor disaster at Chernobyl on April 26, 1986. Some 600,000 people were exposed to strong radioactive emissions as a result of this accident. The exact number of fatalities is not known even today, but is likely to have reached several thousands. Another major headache for nuclear power stations is the final disposal of the radioactive waste that poses a threat to mankind for almost an eternity. Plutonium-239, for example, has a half-life of 24,110 years – in other words, its radioactive emissions only halve in potency once this period has elapsed.

Carried by the Wind

Without the power of wind in a ship's sails, it is likely that the discovery of America would have had to wait a considerable while. Back in the early Middle Ages, people used wind energy to drive windmills, which were mainly used to grind grain. But whereas these windmills were ponderous small towers with cloth sails, today's wind power machines are tall slender masts with three-bladed rotors. These convert wind energy into rotation energy, which is then used to produce electricity via a generator.

In 2009 alone, new wind power facilities with a total capacity of 37,466 megawatts (MW) were installed around the world, of which 13,000 MW of capacity was installed in China, 9,922 MW in the United States, 2,459 MW in Spain, 1,917 MW in Germany and 1,271 MW in India. By the end of 2009, total installed wind power capacity around the world amounted to more than 150,000 MW.

World's Energy Appetite Becomes Increasingly Insatiable

The world's annual energy requirement currently stands at around 107,000 terawatt hours (one terawatt equals one billion watts), a figure that remains very much on the rise. Experts predict that energy consumption is likely to rise to around 160,500 terawatt hours per year by 2030. Global energy needs will once again double to 321,000 terawatt hours per year by 2060. The main drivers of this development are likely to be the emerging markets and developing countries, whose average standard of living will by then have risen to closely match that of Western industrialized nations. According to the latest data released by the International Energy Agency (IEA), China's energy consumption in 2009 actually exceeded that of the US by 4 percent.

Since the beginning of the industrial era, human society has based the lion's share of its working economy on the use of fossil energy sources. Given the latest state of our knowledge, experts believe that known reserves of crude oil will last for around 40 years, with uranium lasting for 50 years, natural gas for around 60 years and coal for a rather longer 220 years or so.

Energy Supply on the Brink of Major Changes

The energy supply situation of mankind stands at a crossroads, and a number of far-reaching changes lie ahead. New discoveries and technological advances will bring about a number of targeted changes. But another likely scenario is that climate change and the dramatic growth in population – together with the corresponding increase in appetite for energy – will force a radical rethink. From today's standpoint, two trends in particular appear to be emerging: on the one hand energy savings and more efficient usage, on the other tapping into alternative energy sources such as solar energy.

The contribution to global electricity production made by photovoltaics may still be considerably below 1 percent, but its growth trajectory is steep nonetheless. Since 1988, newly installed photovoltaic capacity has increased by an average of 35 percent annually. In 2009 alone, new photovoltaic installations were put in place around the world with a total capacity of some 5,000 MW.

The fundamental question that arises, however, is whether a continual increase in energy consumption is desirable at all. Because as his energy consumption needs grow ever greater, man is interfering ever more in the workings of global ecosystems.

Energy Gluttony
 
Global energy requirements are likely to triple by 2060. The most ravenous countries of all will be those of the developing world and emerging markets, where standards of living are set to catch up with those of the industrialized nations.

107,000
terawatt hours in 2010

160,500
terawatt hours in 2030

321,000
terawatt hours in 2060

Pipe Line Politics

Friday, 4 March 2011

Ukraine to Seek EU Financing for $10 Billion Heating Upgrade


 Mar 3, 2011 1:04 PM GMT

Ukraine wants the European Union to help finance a planned $10 billion upgrade of heating companies aimed at reducing emissions.
“We need to reach European standards by 2018,” Deputy Energy and Coal Industry Minister Mykyta Konstantinov said today at an Adam Smith Conference in Kiev. After presenting the emissions reduction plan, “we hope Ukraine will be able to tap the EU’s financial resources.”
Ukraine also needs $1.5 billion to improve safety at its nuclear power plants and plans to seek funding from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and European Atomic Energy Community, Konstantinov said. The former Soviet state has already upgraded two reactors, he said.
Ukraine operates 15 reactors at four nuclear power plants. A reactor at Chernobyl, the fifth plant, exploded in April 1986, spewing radiation across Ukraine, Belarus, Russia and northernEurope. The government shut down Chernobyl’s other reactors completely in 2000.
Ukraine wants to prolong the life of the working reactors by 20 years, Konstantinov said, without giving details.

Thursday, 3 March 2011

Vitol Ranked Ahead of JPMorgan as Developer of Tradable Emission Credits


By Mathew Carr - Mar 3, 2011 12:00 AM GMT

Vitol Group, the world’s largest independent oil trader, was ranked as 2010’s most productive developer of projects yielding tradable emission credits, according to a survey by Bloomberg New Energy Finance.
Vitol Group’s Carbon Resource Management sought credits last year for projects that may yield 11.1 million metric tons of United Nations-overseen emission credits through 2020, according to the ranking. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)’s EcoSecurities unit ranked second, with projects that may yield 8.6 million tons of credits in the period.
New Energy Finance, the London research firm owned by Bloomberg LP, used public data to assess the performance of companies seeking credits last year under the Clean Development Mechanism and Joint Implementation programs. The CDM is the second-biggest greenhouse gas market by traded volume after the EU cap-and-trade program.
Third in the ranking was Eco Asset Inc., with 7.2 million tons, while Barclays Plc (BARC)’s Tricorona Carbon Asset Management unit was fourth, with 6.5 million tons, according to a report e- mailed by New Energy Finance. Noble Carbon Credits, a unit of Singapore-basedNoble Group Ltd. (NOBL), was fifth, with 5.1 million tons expected.
Vitol, based in Geneva, said last month it increased its stake to 100 percent in Carbon Resource Management as part of a strategy to develop emission-reduction projects after 2012. Terms of the deal weren’t disclosed.
Carbon Resource Management didn’t make last year’s rankings by New Energy Finance. Barclays’ Tricorona unit was ranked third last year, while JPMorgan’s EcoSecurities was fifth.

US$500m ADB funding expected for Indonesian geothermal projects

News March 3rd, 2011 

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) is set to grant Indonesia a US$500m loan to help it build three geothermal power plants, according to the local newspaper Jakarta Post.
The three plants will add 185MW to the country’s power grid and will be built in Sungaipenuh in Jambi, Karaha in West Java and Mataloko in East Nusa Tenggara.
Djajang Sukarna of the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry told the newspaper: “We’ll sign the deal in late 2011 and start construction of the power plants next year.”
He said Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE), part of state oil and gas company Pertamina, would be responsible for the upstream operation at the Sungaipenuh power plant, while state electricity company PT PLN would take care of the downstream operation. At Karaha, PGE will take full control while Mataloko will fall under PLN’s remit.
Indonesia has traditionally been an oil exporter but is now aiming to exploit its abundant geothermal resources. The ADB is currently considering a number of proposals to assist Indonesia in expanding its geothermal production base.
Last August, the ADB approved US$1.5m to fund a project to review the steam resource assessments and preliminary steam field and power plant designs, developed by PLN and to evaluate the feasibility of the sub-projects.

Wednesday, 23 February 2011

Magma Power for Geothermal Energy?


By Andy Fell, UC Davis   |   February 23, 2011   |   1 Comment 
California, USA -- When a team of scientists drilling near an Icelandic volcano hit magma in 2009, they had to abandon their planned experiments on geothermal energy. But the mishap could point the way to an alternative source of geothermal power.
 Add Your Comment1 Reader Comments
Comment
1 of 1
February 23, 2011
The idea sounds great - this solves the most significant problem with enhanced geothermal energy (EGS) by using the convection of liquid flowing rock to transfer heat rather than the conduction of hard rock to transfer heat.
For those that are not aware, EGS rapidly depletes the rock strata of its high temperatures, and the rock strata must be continually re-fracked to provide new high-temperature channels for the water/steam to flow through for high-heat transfer. This is because the water strips heat from the rock faster than the conduction through the rock can replace that heat.

HOWEVER, there's a problem with magma. That boils down to materials science. Liquid rock would quickly cap whatever channels for water/steam were used for the heat exchange, and any closed pipe that was sunk into 1000 K liquid would suffer such high attack combined with such drastic material weakening that there would be a very short lifespan.

Magma is the ultimate dream for EGS, but a great deal of development would be required in order to figure out how to economically tap that resource.

I wish them luck, but I would advise everyone not to expect a magma-well EGS system in their neighborhood soon.

Wednesday, 9 February 2011

Coal fights for its share of the new energy market


The industry, under siege from deregulation, clean-air rules, and wind and solar power, looks to friendly politicians to fight for a share of the new energy market

Wednesday, February 9, 2011  02:51 AM

THE PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER

Mechanization means coal companies need fewer employees such as Chris Friel, who is working a longwall mining machine in the Cumberland mine in Waynesburg, Pa.Wind turbines rise on a ridge beyond the Kimberly Run Mine in Friedens, Pa. That state's coal industry complains that alternative energy is buoyed by government subsidies. Wind and solar companies counter that coal has long had a strong voice in Pennsylvania's legislature.
Laurence Kesterson | The Philadelphia Inquirer photo
Wind turbines rise on a ridge beyond the Kimberly Run Mine in Friedens, Pa. That state's coal industry complains that alternative energy is buoyed by government subsidies. Wind and solar companies counter that coal has long had a strong voice in Pennsylvania's legislature.

Mechanization means coal companies need fewer employees such as Chris Friel, who is working a longwall mining machine in the Cumberland mine in Waynesburg, Pa.

PHILADELPHIA - Nearly 6miles into a southwestern Pennsylvania coal mine, about 900 feet underground, two massive steel wheels ringed with carbide teeth chew chunks from a pitch-black wall.
A monstrous crusher smashes excavated rock - some pieces are half the size of a car - under 12-volt halogen lights strung along the mine roof. More than 200 steel shields, each able to bear 975 tons, prop up that roof as the walls below it crumble.

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High along some of the state's forested ridges, meanwhile, wind turbines churn, their sleek, 150-foot-long fiberglass blades slicing through air in a mesmerizing rhythm.
And between earth and sky, atop rooftops or planted in rows on farmland, framed panels of silicon angle upward like sunning butterflies.
In the battle for energy supremacy in Pennsylvania and across the country, these forces of nature - coal, wind and solar power - are key combatants.
In January, the coal lobby gained what it considers a friend in the governor's mansion: Tom Corbett, a native of western Pennsylvania, where coal still pays the bills in thousands of households and underwrites community projects, and where a coal queen is crowned every year.
What that means for the state's fledgling alternative-energy industries is not clear. But the stakes are high: energy-market share in a new era of electricity deregulation and consumer choice and, as then-Gov. Edward G. Rendell argued for years, Pennsylvania's ability to re-engineer its economy to one more dominant in clean technology.
On one side of the debate: Pennsylvania's still-thriving coal towns, largely in the southwest. On the other: former industrial regions, such as Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Allentown, that after decades of job loss see economic opportunity. At a former U.S. Steel site in Bucks County, Pa., for example, a wind-turbine manufacturer employs 265.
But deregulation of the electricity market makes the battle relevant to all Pennsylvanians. It has given them more choice over who supplies their electricity, and how much of it - if any - they want to come from alternative sources such as solar and wind power.
According to the federal Energy Information Administration, 15 states and the District of Columbia have deregulated electricity markets. Ohio is among them.
Already, the coal industry considers itself threatened by federal regulations aimed at reducing pollution and greenhouse gases suspected of causing global warming. The regulations could force utilities to shutter coal-fired power plants rather than invest in upgrades to meet stricter standards for carbon-dioxide emissions.

Coal's muscle has atrophied considerably since its heyday in the early 20th century, when demand from the U.S. steel and railroad industries seemed insatiable.
At World War I's start, Pennsylvania coal was mined at a rate of 265 million tons a year; today, it's 65.5 million tons.
Those employed in coal mining topped 370,000 when excavation tools were mostly picks and shovels, rather than the computerized machinery that produces "far more tons with far fewer workers," said Jon Wood, vice president of government and external affairs for Alpha Natural Resources, the operator of 20 mines in Pennsylvania.
Technology has reduced coal-industry jobs. Now, alternative forms of energy threaten even more.
Corbett has said his energy plan includes renewable sources, but he has not provided specifics. His office did not respond to requests for an interview for this article.
The coal lobby's political-action committee - which donated a total of $4,000 to Corbett's campaign in 2009 and 2010 and $142,796 to federal and state candidates from 2000 through 2010 - promises a renewed offensive to protect its turf.
Said George Ellis, president of the Pennsylvania Coal Association: "All we're asking for is a level playing field."
Coal's supporters argue that alternative-energy endeavors are still largely buoyed by government subsidies.
Alternative-energy advocates counter that coal has had a lopsided advantage in the state for decades, aided by a coal caucus in the legislature in the 1980s.
Energy "represents an opportunity in this region that can be bigger than the pharmaceutical sector," said Kevin P. Brown, founder of Cleantech Alliance Mid-Atlantic, which promotes innovation and investment in alternative energy.